Thursday, June 4, 2026

Gompertz Function and Curve


Gompertz Function and Curve

My blog activity fits very well with Gompertz Curve

My blog function started slowly, then had an exponential growth before tailing off.

The war in Ukraine and my antagonism to American Proxy War made me to come out of hibernation and bring out the Dhamma Principle of Uncertainty of Life on the battle field.

American propaganda is now in the decline with the colossal loss meted out to the Democratic Party by the electorate. 

The election episode did not follow the Gompertz Function.        

There is no mathematical equation for electoral catastrophe but usually the expression of frustrated citizenry is  abrupt and unpredictable.

The Gompertz Function was domain of actuaries who were interested in the risk of death. 

Currently it is manifested in the Stock Market and its eventual downfall.

Gompertz Function has three variables a, b, c.

These variables follow calculus model.

But the curve is in two axis of x and y.

It is simply very informative.

I hated calculus since my interest was physics with motion, constants and time dimension.

But I now consider events exploding into 4th and 5th dimensions.

I also hate statistical Bell Shape Curve model which cannot be expressed in Gompertz's terms.          

On surface, the outliers and the middle portion shows similar behaviour but the gradients of outliers are unnatural, acute and sharp.

Insurance companies fear death that means payment and loss of capital.

Their obsession is the risk of death.

The lower the risk of death and higher the number of young people included in the protocol better their profits. They calculate the risk for each age group and determine the premium that has to be paid.

The large pension schemes also use the Gompetz Function for their investment plans. 

This is where I have my reservation for private pension schemes.

The Gomperz curve has a universal claim.

Tumour growth, cell culture growth and bacterial growth follow Gompertz function but they have more variables than the 3 used in the curve.

That is why I love natural biological events and consyant cell cycles of 50 or around 50.


 

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