This is my scientific estimate as a Pathologist. When, I do a Postmortem Examination, I do a thorough historical research before taking the surgical blade to dissect. The surgical blade has to go through the skin with some diversions considering the circumstances one has succumbed in the final moments of life.
Presumptions are
Natural Cause
Accident Cause
Blue Murder
But now I put another category.
Unknown
That is the 40% category.
60% can be accommodated easily within the 3 domains.
I think Forensic Pathologists also have the same dilemma but they are expected to make a sound judgement less wrong one is convicted.
Forensic Pathologist has to present the probable causes and he is not expected to make any judgement.
It is the judge who makes the final judgement but he or she can have a jury to deliberate.
I personally have no confidence on the jury since some professionals, lawyers and doctors are deliberately excluded. People gone bankrupt are included in the exclusions. I think professional who have retired for over 20 yeas or more should be allowed in the jury. Just for them to make little contribution while addind few coppers to their income. I am now over 20 years from my retirement and I am eligible on quoted conditions but I would flatly refuse giving cognitive deficiency when seated idle on a chair at High Courts of Law.
The guys who sits there are considered commoners and able to make a fair judgement.
All these factors make me to stick to 40% WRONG JUDGEMENT.
Fallosies can creep in at many levels.
1. At the Initial evidence level where the one who gives the evidence has already made his or her own opinion, at least subconsciously.
In other words they are bised.
2. Police officers who record the evidence are expected not make twists in their recording the evidence but invariably they make subconscious attempt to fit into the 3 levels mentioned.
My 4th level is not in their mind.
3. Prosecutor or the lawyers presenting the case (for or agaist the victim) also twist the evidence.
4. Fourthly and inevitably the judges have to make a decision based on above fallible conditions.
I am not happy with 3 judges but prefer the Buddhist Convection of Sangha, where a decision is made by 5 and agreed upon.
Seven does not make any headway and 10 is wasting resources.
But 20 is my biological indicator where if one sees 20 biological items linked, it is designated arbitrarily by me as a biological hotspot. In that sence our rooftop garden was a Biological Hotspot at least for Water Plants since I collected many varities over 15 years. Equally, I cared for them at least on weekly basis if not daily.
I wanted to make a biological hotspot for orchids (Orchid House) but could not finish the task since I decided to move away from CEYLON on reasons which I do not want to mention here except that guys like Nirmal Ranjith is an antithesis to me.
Sorry, I have to make some political intervention. It is timely.
He (Nirmal Ranjth) is distorting our ribust political history.
I consider him as a pest in current circumstances. He is a proxy for the CIA/India cum JVP rump. NPP/JVP is actually the LTTE rump and their ill gotten money.
LTTE diaspora is finacing them.
The Ulterior Propaganda is from LTTE. Indian RAW is orchestrating it.
There is no secret about it and that is one of the many reasons I am Anti-Indian.
Indian agents helped Mosad to undermine Iran. So, I have no trust in any organization where Indian agents sit. Just like Turkish, Indians are double dealers. History shows their credentials at least as far as CEYLON is concerned.
Coming to Nirmal, he has not read the original of Des Capital by Karl Marx in German, French or English. Nirmal Ranjith is nowhere compared to late Kumar David. He has gathered his knowledge by reading Sinhala translation which carry gross errors. I think he is bar in his SINHALA, too. In that sense his observation are not valid.
Inciting ordinary people to break peace in this country for no valud reason except to bring a party with arcane ideas to power was his plan. I am pretty sure he was funded by LTTE rump.
That is his sordid handy work.
If he is taken to courts he has no defense but to admit that he is a subtle terrorist.
He falls into the Dharshana Hapandoga category who is no more. Dharshana was used and dropped by JVP.
I do not carry a brief to Rajapaksa Clan but these guys were anti Rajapaksa to bring a more wild and underground group craving for power over 70 years.
JVP/NPP core is aided by RAW.
Nirmal's ideas are not valid currently locally and globally.
I think this guy Kelum Jayasumana who runs the YouTube space is more brainy than Nirmal.
I think Kelum Jayasumana should be elevated the best political commentator above Nirmal Ranjith.
He is betting on Ranil Wickrasinghe just as my friend Rajitha Senaratne is on the side of Ranil Wickrasinghe. I do not like Ranil for many reasons especially on his Educational Reforms. He destroyed what Professor B. R. N. Mendis did as the U. G. C. Chairman. We had grand plan for all universities with J. I. C. A of Japan helping us.
What is left in CEYLON Univertues is the remnants of that grand plan.
I should make some refrence to Rajitha's contributions as the Minister of Health.
He should be compared to a "Bodhisattva" as far as the Health Sector is considered.
Long live Rajitha.
I must make a references to multilanguage capability. As a Linux Guy one of the cardinal requirements of Linux is the ability to work in many languages.
Debian supports 78 local languages.
I LibreOffice supports 120 languages.
UBUNTU supports 55 languages.
I would end up why Buddhist monks should gain proficiency in French, German, Spanish and English. One cannot spread Dhamma using arcane Pali as a communivlcation utility. One has to be a polyglot.
That is why Buddhist monks were expected to know at least 6 languages. Thotagamuva Sri Rahula knew six Indian languages (polyglot).
It is said his cadaver did not rot and Portuguese invaders smuggled it to Goa and claimed it as a Christian saint.
His (Sri Rahula) contribution to Dhamma is almost none but his contribution to Sinhala literature was enormous. Hence, I have not followed his life as an academic exercise.
I am a scientific Guy by default.
If I did not read Dhamma in English, my understanding of Dhamma would have been next to nothing.
In tried French but failed miserably.
However, I can read and get some sense in French. French has beautiful phonetics as in SINHALA.
A SINHALA guy can master French if he dares to care for.
