Sunday, November 3, 2024

Hung Parliament Should be taken as a Blessing

Please note, I have removed all the blog pieces here, related to Ceylon Politics.

My prediction is a "Hung Parliament".

Probable distribution of seats would be;
NPP            100 seats
SJB.              80 seats
Tamils          25 seats in the North
Muslims         8 seats in the East
SLPP              8 seats
Peratugami    2 seats
Rest                2 seats (includes Ramanayake associates) 

It is a Healthy Development.
 
In 1960s it was normal.
 
JRJ changed this with a bizarre Post of Presidency.

It should be abolish sooner than late.

I am not subscribing to Strong Opposition or Strong Government.

I prefer neither.

ARAGALAYA or Peaceful Change was a landmark in our political history. 
Ordinary masses were fed up of the two party system.

Yes, NPP/JVP hijacked the ARAGALAYA theme but could muster only 42%.

That is not a tragedy but a healthy manifestation

This 50% plus 1 vote scenario (First past the post) is not good for Parliamentary Democracy and the proportional representation is the better choice.

Even fringe parties should have a place.
In fact, I support the fringe parties but not the money driven Ali Raja party.

I support the parties without money but with good political (not mature yet but maturing, fast) ideas.
 
We must allow the new ideas to come to surface.

In that sense "Hung Parliament" is a blessing in disguise.

Being bound to a dogma is an antithesis
It becomes a paranoia in no time and hinder new ideas.

This period of experimentation is necessary for Ceylon (for Asian countries excluding China) to explore and to evolve into a better system of administration.

I do not think China would allow such an evolution. 

The Muslim dominant regions in China (Dalai Lama included) were subdued whereas in Russia Chechen are an accepted political engine while remaining within Russia.

My earlier prediction was 45%, 35%, 15% and the rest of 5%. This has become more broad based now.

This distribution does not reflect the statistical Bell Shaped Curve but shows the real political trends (not political divisions). 

Trying to unify them is not going to work.

After the election making a coalition is a different kettle of fish.

In general, it represents the fringe parties (and also the unpopular parties).

Unfortunately, this phenomenon is not seen in the Tamil and Muslim dominant areas.
It is a pity.
The remnants of LTTE influence is still visible

Tamil people have different cast systems.

They should be represented by political wisdom for them to become visible and active. 

After all, JVP started as caste based (dominant) party.

More representation is better for Ceylon and it is an evolving phenomenon.

That is the Message Aragala or Peaceful Change brought to our polity.

Accept it as normal and do not let it die a natural death or subdued by power politics.
 
That is my wish.
 
Good Luck to Fringe Parties.
 
Each one of them should get at least one seat.

That is my wish.

After all they worked hard to come to this point in politics and they deserve a place.
 
A type of "Colour Revolution". 

There Won't be Another Donald Trump, Again

Yes, there won't be another Donald Trump in the foreseeable future, in American History.

I think Donald Trump would become the next US President by an easy margin of electoral colleagues.

I have two reasons for this statement..

1. Three attempts at his life has tipped the balance in his favour.
His ability to survive was the key factor.

2. Kamala Harris is the worse Democratic candidate in living history.

To this one can add that Biden Family would never forgive Kamala Harris for (Obama was the secret agent), not allowing him to go for a second term.
 
Indirectly, Biden's inactivity and letting the Deep State and Military Industrial Complex to run the affairs in America (including Global sphere) would backfire on Democrats.

Since the Democratic Machinery could not manipulate the early voting in postal ballot, their cohorts seem to vandalize the ballots boxes (this happens one sees the impending defeat) by burning the ballots (deliberate and not an isolated incident).
 
It is a case in point.

It is strange how democracy works in America (just like in an African state).

The answer to why another Donald Trump would not come is easy.

1. It costs a huge some to contest (coming from outside the two major parties).

Robert Kennedy junior is a classic example.
Even, Elon Musk cannot do it with his surplus money.
 
He could only help himself to the winning horse!

2. No sane capitalist with lot of money would spend that much of money on a losing campaign. 
One has to win to secure financial security.

3. No Insurance Company would underwrite a losing candidate.
 
Winner takes it all is the simple logic.

4. The media campaign of CNN and NBC would not help.
They are going to lose most of their supporters / subscribers, once Trump is elected.
 
One has to bite the dust.

Why did I give up Alcohol?

 Why did you give up alcohol?


If somebody asks me this question, I have two ready made answers and a few more thought provoking ones.
 
It effects my memory and my sleep.
 
I had a fantastic memory as a kid (which many of my friendly fellow beings did not have) and I did not have to take notes.
 
Equally, I only took short notes in strips of paper not A 4 size but that fitted in my front shirt pocket.
 
That is also things or the idea I heard for the first time (did not believe in them first hand).
 
Eg; Evolution
 
I loved my sleep and my mother would not wake me up.
She was an early riser.
 
The reasons outside those two are many.

Recent tax imposition which was a draconian law for the liberals.
 
I only prefer to drink alcohol not taxes.
 
The effect of alcohol on liver, especially on feel good factors (hormones) of chocolates is an important discovery for me.
 
Fact that, alcohol hijacks the important biochemical pathways in the liver and depletes micro-elements is another reason.
 
Alcohol turns non carcinogens to carcinogen and the vise versa.

It is a double edge sword.
 
My current intention is to highlight the good things about alcohol.
The book will be published after the election when voter goes back to his routine mode of drowning aspirations with ample alcohol.

Happiness (Ecstasy) on one side and cancer on the other.

Cirrhosis and depletion of glycogen are few others.
Sugar metabolism and early morning hypoglycemia can be mortal in your sleep for the elderly over 60.

One does not have to be a diabetic.

It effects driving skills and a common cause of accidents.

It is a universal cell poison, including brain cells.

Two points I missed and not mentioned in the description of alcohol side effects in web pages and sites are;

Compulsive gambling and legal problems related to money matters.
 
Like politicians (new breed and the old) they can become compulsive liars (to buy the next drink or to buy basic needs including food for survival).

This is where domestic problems arise, including violence.

The debts increase and responsibility decreases.

There are many more to fill a book of decent size.

 
Benefits of Meditation and Lapses in My Memory
 
I have reproduced a piece here I have written 4 years ago,
the reason being that I forgot all my bank cards PIN numbers for a brief period.
 
I used the A account's Pin Number to the B accounts's Pin number and after three attempts bank inactivated all my cards.
Mind you, I luckily had an account in a different Bank and survived until my new card arrived.
 
All this due to enjoying my retirement and paucity of use of the daily routines.
So I immediately, joined my account with a family member.
 
The other thing that one forgets is the passwords for email accounts.
I have addressed that scenario in length elsewhere.
Just like forgetting PIN numbers and passwords if one abruptly stops p
racticing 
 
Meditation, whatever the benefits accrued will dissipate in no time.
 
That is why I recommend (and practice MM) Moment and Frequent Meditation (mental) exercises.
 
Having said that I have not found a solution for lapses in my memory.
I still do not carry a Memory Note with me.
Now my NEW method is counting the the lapses of my memory on daily routines.
 
How many lapses a day?
 
That seems to keep my memory fine tuned.
I sometime forget to fill the bowl with water for my dog.
 
He is totally blind and when this happens he seems to go in circles round the house to bring attention to its needs.
He reminds me of the daily routine which I forget and the recurrent lapses in my memory.
 
My dog has a fantastic memory (in our age he is nearing 100 years) and still behaves like a 7 year old kid and won't do anything to annoy me.
 
That is the difference of a pet and a human soul.
 
Humans when old becomes very grumpy for no reason.
 
There is lot to learn from a dog. Sadly he is no more and in heaven and asked Maha Brahma to act as my guardian angle.
That appointment is pending.

This is part of the introduction to my Book on Meditation.


Benefits of Meditation
 
There are many claims of benefit of meditation often poorly substantiated.
Some of these benefits can be obtained without resort to meditation but simple change in life style.
Suppose a meditator changes his food habits drastically say to a vegetarian diet and practice meditation as a routine and finds that his blood cholesterol is lowered significantly, and then if he or she attributes it to the practice of meditation, there is a big flow in that argument.
One is not sure whether the change in diet did effect the blood cholesterol level or the practice of meditation or both did have independent or summation effect on the level of blood cholesterol. Unless one take a random sample and assess the partial correlation, then only one can attribute combination or independent effects on a particular quantity tested.
Qualitative changes cannot be tested since one cannot quantify the results. In actual fact the effect of meditation is often qualitative and very individualistic and one cannot feel the same effect a different mediator would have felt at the time of his or her meditative stance or instance/s.
This is very true as far as the Jhana States are concerned.
With that reservation in mind one can describe the many unmeasurable benefits attributed to meditation in Buddhist literature.

Metta Meditation

In Buddhist literature it is claimed that one who practises Metta Meditation falls to sleep easily and get up in the morning peacefully.

It is wished in the last three lines of the Sutta.
By reciting Karaniya Metta Sutta one should feel physically and psychologically better, one is made free of illness and one attains the highest goal or victory.
That is of course the Nibbana.
They may be just wishful thinking or one may actually feels better physically and psychologically.
It is also claimed that the natural immunity to cancer and infections are increased by practicing Metta Meditation.
This is something Venerable Ajhan Brahma Wanso preaches in most of his teaching.

Present Moment Meditation

This is something that is worth discussing here.
It has direct relationship to day to day activities.
I believe it has significant contribution to the efficiency of one’s trained skill, simply due to the intense concentration one may apply in his or her work skill at hand (without any distraction).
It is simply the focused attention to the task at hand.
If one is focused on any work, the efficiency goes up by leaps and bounds.
This is very well shown in management training.
When focused attention is combined with attitude to work and other measurable increase in environmental components the work output and the efficiency levels improve.
This is something shop or floor manager can use in day to day basis.
It is called a Quality Drill.
It does not matter how one qualifies the content or the output but the efficiency of the skill concerned improve by both repeated practice and focused attention to the moment of the activity.

Samatha Meditation

There is no specific measurable benefits of Samatha Bhavana or meditation except the attainment of the four goals or paths of entry to Nibbana,
Buddhist spiritual goal is stream entry through development of Jhanas four in this life and 8 in celestial life.
Smatha probably is better for those who are less intelligent (One who is not able to master the finer scientific points in Dhamma).

Vipassana Meditation

This the highest goal of Buddhist meditative practice.
It is claimed that all states of Jhana can be attained by Vipassana Bhavana or Meditation. I may be wrong in this assertion but that is what is spread among the lay persons without full knowledge or the understanding of mediation.
But when I looked at the terminology, it is said that Vipassana Bhavana would not contribute to absorption states.
This (Vipassana) is called the gaining in insight by direct contemplation and vision.
Only in Samatha Bhavana one attains the Jhana absorption levels up to four.
Only when an aspirant has gained the higher Jhana level that one could develop the five kinds of supernatural powers (Abhiñña) the divine eye, divine ear, recall of past births, thought-reading and various psychic powers i.e. walk on water.
The attainment of the supernatural powers is not the real goal of Buddhism.
The attainment of these powers may actually be a distraction or hindrance to a true aspirant or a pathfinder of Buddhist path of glory.
The ability to absorb into Jhana states should not be the goal of Buddhist meditation.
The Jhana states have no hindrance and the Jhana/s could be the way forward of stream entry.
The practice of meditation may bring many benefits and they are difficult to quantify or qualify except perhaps the benefit of present moment of meditation or focus which should be practiced without a label of a particular religion.
It is when one has labels and targets or goals of attainment, the practice of meditation becomes a commercial enterprise of undesirable consequences, ignoring the correct but simple way of development of the mental culture.
I am one who believes that mediation has value in all wakeful hours of the day.
The only exception is when one is asleep and when one dreams.
I am one who talks about dreams and write about dreams and their physiological value is unparalleled only by the practice of meditation in the wakeful state.
The meditation practice is the awareness of the wondering mind and its taming.
That is the Buddhist way.
The goal is not achieving of miracle powers, even though they may or may not come as a byproduct.
Sleeping (and dreaming) is the practice of letting the mind go into an unobtrusive and unhindered state in which the mind is unaware of the physiological inputs that operate in random manner with aberrations of awareness (of the totality) but with interludes of dreaming cycles.
On the other hand meditation is to “let go the attachments” one has with all the mental faculties both sensual and mind centered.

Goals of Buddhist Meditation

The goal is the spiritual attainment (Jhana states can be a byproduct) and stream entry by progressive cultivation of meditation basically by four common methods (there are many more).


1. Metta Meditation.


2. Samatha Meditation with Kasina or various Kamatahans.


3. Vipassana Meditation.


4. Moment Meditation (my simple creative method of short durations of multiple attempts).
This is adequately dealt by Venerable Ajhan Brahma Wanso, in the book "Happiness Through Meditation". It is also published as “Meditation, Bliss and Beyond”.
It is the best book currently available on Meditation in general and my intention here is to make it more of global nature and take the religious tag at the moment of its use.

Memory and Meditation

I want to share a drill I practice on day to day basis.
This is especially because, I am beginning to lose my memory and there are short lapses infrequent though, but enough to raise alarm bells on my part lately.
Once I forgot all my password for bank cards briefly.
This was during our long industrial action when I had a laid back approach to life in general and sleep in particular.
I was not having an adequate sleep (totally engrossed in Linux downloads and testing the isos) at night.
This coincided with forgetting of passwords for half a dozen emails and Linux forum passwords.
This shook my inner senses and I now have a ready made retrieval method based on memory drill.
The combination of Metta Meditation and Moment Meditation have worked wonders for me since then.
I now even have a simple protocol to remember 16 number Visa Card.
The memory loss was partly due to gray matter losing its material and the neural networks not recharging to peak levels, probably due to old age (this handicap is seriously encroaching my body parts, if not the brain).
Metta meditation makes one sleeps well not in one go but in two short spells (Night is the shortest spell when I do most of my work to avoid mosquito menace. The mosquitoes make me aware of my lack of Metta Meditation).
Our dog is the target animal for Metta.
Mosquitoes is the antidote to Metta.
Then in the morning I have a brief 5 minutes of Moment Meditation practice at the end of it, I have a mental list of 10 things or map out the tasks to do for the day.
If the list go up to 20, I do it in two spells like my sleep.
A morning list and an evening list.
That has worked well for the last two years and I still do not carry a piece of paper with all the tasks.
If I have to carry a piece of paper to remind me the day to day work, I think I should say Good Bye and take first steps for the next round of birth.
That is on top of my wish list.
Since, I have not yet achieved stream entry, in spite of my mediation efforts, that will eventually happen (the demise not the stream entry) and is the only viable option left for me.
There is a simple addition to that wish list.
No electronic aids or tinkle to alert me of the wish list or missing tasks.
I do not use a cell phone by default.


I do not want a gadget to master my brain.
I rather "Master My Brain" instead, without a phone alert or a piece of paper.
I wonder, how long I can practice it?
PS;
Having said that I bought three new cellphones for half the price of Samsung top end models.
My prediction is all thew electrical items including cellphones go up in price after the election and import restriction whichever power that may come to power.
Currently cellphones have gone down in price significantly.
My advice is to buy one or two now.
I used buy the cheapest in Singapore and throw it to the dustbin at the Singapore airport, if I do not meet a Singaporean Ceylonese (this habit was the follow up feature of me throwing the bleeper into the dustbin on Friday evening, in UK)
What I really like is the GreenTel with Android Oreo.
Nokia is my second best (mind you they were the first to come out with this addictive item in 1980s with Telecoms regulatory changes in UK).
They were the size of a good size brick then!

Android versions list A to Z:

  1. Android 1.5: Android Cup Cake
  2. Android 1.6: Android Dough nut
  3. Android 2.0: Android Eclair
  4. Android 2.2: Android Froyo
  5. Android 2.3: Android Gingerbread
  6. Android 3.0: Android Honeycomb
  7. Android 4.0: Android Ice Cream Sandwich
  8. Android 4.1 to 4.3.1: Android Jelly Bean
  9. Android 4.4 to 4.4.4: Android KitKat
  10. Android 5.0 to 5.1.1: Android Lollipop
  11. Android 6.0 to 6.0.1: Android Marshmallow
  12. Android 7.0 to 7.1: Android Nougat
  13. Android 8.0 to Android 8.1: Android Oreo
  14. Android 9.0: Android Pie
  15. Android 10.0
There is a guy in the opposition who has (convicted) five IDs and 25 Sim Cards and spreading political lies in various names.

Beware!