Evaluation of Election Results
I have left out several guys who were instrumental in bringing a significant change in our politics.
This is how Niragamikayo treat Buddhist monk in Prison
There is a Real Danger for Pnanasara Himi in Prison.
As
far as I gather this Himi has not been imprisoned under murder charges
but he is treated like a serial killer or somebody like Jack the Ripper.
He is being kept with serial killers.
This is how the criminal law is practised in Ceylon.
What is the response of our Cardinal?
He must be happy Now.
Chintana Dharmadhsa "Nohoth Padadaya" is working for Ranil "Nohoth CIA Agent".
"Mun Okkhoma Dhesha Drohiyo".
Ali
Rajah (LTTE Vestige but currently Active) Subhashwaran financing "Rani"
film to belittle our "Rana Wiruwan" or brave soldiers.
Anura has taken the lead bait and he will be demolished on his own accord.
"Anne Modayo Dan Mokada Karranne?"
"Anurawa Hakkhe Thiyala Chappa Karala Danawa Mun Tika".
That is the master plan..
Aiyeh Minihagen Ganna Deyak Nathi Hindha Minihava Billy Denna Hadhanne.
Anne Pavve Meyahh!
1. Dharshana Hapangoda in his inimitable way introduce guys to the global audience.
He is unique.
When nobody dared he antagonized Rajapaksas.
That was the beginning.
I think he had a tough time under them.
Having said that he gave a fair chance to all political views including that actor guy, Kamal Addharaarachchi.
2. Champika Ranawake
Intelligent and educated guy with the knowledge about Katubeddha student activities.
He should study Peradeniya University students' activities like Kumar David.
3. Ravi Kumudesh
Ravi is a new found talent with a political brain.
According to Chapa Bandara Ravi was a LTTE operative in the past.
He may be a Tamil guy with good Sinhala education.
He is supposed to be currently financed by Ali Rajah Subhashwaran who is the LTTE Banker (Black Money) in UK.
Ranjan Ramanayake was once financed by him and Ranjan has disappeared from the main stream.
He was used and dumped and he (Ranjan) is a bit of a political idiot.
4. Chapa Bandara
Chapa is a different kettle of fish with a vast resource pool.
I admire his upright standing with Buddhist Culture.
There is nothing in Ceylon without Buddhist Culture.
We must protect it from Ranil and CIA.
5. Sepala Amarasinghe
Sepala does not have to bring his own views in politics but he has to bring guys slanted with his line of thinking.
Just like Dharshana Hapangoda, basically voice either for or against the government.
Dharshana Hapangoda directly and indirectly helped Anura and the Clan.
This Anura Clan is the sinking ship.
A major disaster impending.
My advice for Champika
He should have a go at the next Presidential Election.
He has only one GO and no more.
He is the only guy who can take NPP/JVP head on.
Weera Wansa may not be able to do it with his long alliance with Rajapaksas.
He (WW) has to emerge from the deep pit he is already in.
"Bauddhaya is his Galaweema" not Karl Marx.
Regarding Champika, the biggest disadvantage is money.
Save whatever, You have but Start filling the till from Well Wishers.
That money should be used for Kandy, Galle and Anuradhapura.
Whatever he has done is enough for Colombo.
1. He should get some help from Chandrika on the ground that he won't antagonize her son.
Thar alliance will cover the Attanahalla and Nittambuwa.
As it is Chandrika needs some help.
That guy Wijedasa is a crook and he has no guts to stand up against NPP/JVP but he trying to scoop what is left of PA.
Maithree guy is a liability to any party he associate with.
SLFP is the classic example and there are about 6 Stake Holders to SLFP.
2. He may need Ravi Kumudesh.
Looking at Hiruni, Ravi is an excellent political animal.
He can breakdown the NPP/JVP trade unions without much a do.
3. Champika needs Harsha De Silva without upsetting Sajith.
Unity of the opposition is vital with one problem, Namal and the Rump of SLPP.
He should be stopped at 10% and no more.
4. Must not antagonize India.
5. He should have a good alliance with Muslims.
Unlike Tamils they can be trusted.
6. Tamils are a big problem.
They are spread all over. the globe
Their business arm in Ceylon is broken up by the Muslim businesses.
Tamils know only one language.
That is money, especially dollars.
Nobody can find a single old time L.T.T.E. guy in Canada.
They are all now not first but second generation Canadian politicians.
This
is why Donald Trump is behind the back (Canada) of these illegal guys
not only Sheiks but other Terrorist Rumps from various regions of the
world.
They slowly slip into America from Canada.
Allirajah Subhashwaran is a good example.
Like Emil Saundranayagm of the past, he spins black money to white and white to black, with one spin of the wheel.
Tamils are very much divided but have become an International Conglomerate.
They do not have a base but a Intricate Network.
I am told that they have got India wrapped around their fingers.
Nobody can unite them but money is their global link.
The Kovils and Gold are their lifeline.
Even, in Ceylon Tamils control the gold exchange not Muslims.
My batch mates are a good example how the unity of Tamils are expressed in Global Scale.
They are all over the globe.
Their game is to fight among themselves.
They have petty fights everyday and their weapon is the cellphone, mostly Apple devices. Some of the petty fights are related to Caste or Kovils.
The current dilemma is whether to go to Ganges or Kovil in South India.
For Ceylonese Tamils, there is a big difference between an Indian Kovil and a Jaffna Kovil.
A Kovil in Kandy has no significance and Kataragama Kovil has lost all its glory..
My current understanding of a Kovil is a Private Bank.
I have no working idea, how much of a cut each Deva gets in each Kovil but it is much less than what the Pusari gets, I am told.
One thing is sure.
Tamils are very intelligent and that itself may be a big problem.
They do not like being cheated like the way Anura has done.
They do not mind "do not care attitude" but if you cheat one, that one will remember it for life.
They never intend to cheat YOU.
Treat them business like and their bona fide language is money, dollars to be precise.
Coming to Politics and Champika
Probable Breakdown of Vote in the near future.
To begin with NPP/JVP (animal) does not need any intervention, at all.
Naturally, it will destroy itself. It follows the basic animal nature that destroy within.
Just mark my word.
1. SJB 20%
2. NPP 20%
3. SLPP 10%
Tricky 50% Left and JVP got only 42% with lot of money and almost perfect campaign.
My advice;
Champika has to start long before JVP starts crumbling.
If Champika waits until the real fractures appear in NPP/JVP other parties will step in before him to gobble.
He has to eat into its base NOW not later.
His YouTube work should be the harbinger.
Anura is in panic mode already and gather those moments to wrestle its superficial structure including media guys and girls.
Do not let the vote base slip and go to SJB or SLPP.
Both of them have to revamp their camps.
No space should be allowed right at this moment.
Better be earlier than late.
Ranil may be having a plan of his own. I guess his window is 2 years.
Sajith failed twice mainly due to Ranil's backstabbing.
Destroy Ranil and let Sajith consolidate.
SLPP revival depends on Weera Wansa and Wiraya.
SLPP people need time. They would not come to streets until they are fed up again.
With Unity in the opposition YOU can make it.
I must now tell you how I became anti-Indian.
It developed over 35 years.
It ran parallel with my antipathy towards JVP and now NPP.
Now I am convinced India was involved in undermining Ceylon from 1971-73 to1988/89.
India used DJVP.
I have direct evidence.
In
1971 to 1973 I thought North Korea was involved but my gut feeling is
again India through an unknown proxy ignited, the 1971 insurrection.
Indians
were involved from Indira Gandhi's time but after blasting off of PM
Rajiv Gandhi, it died down for a little while but it has reemerged with
vigour through Modi and Anura.
The pathetic part of this SAGA is JVP carder and their followers did not realize they were being used by Indian operatives.
These
Niragamikayo do not see anything wrong when guys and girls in other
religions bring cultural elements from foreign countries and plant them
here and destroy our own Temple Based Culture.
Temple is an antithesis to them.
Why?
There is a big plot.
India and CIA are on this plot.
Tamils are also hoodwinked.
America and CIA are using a certain section of Tamils in their strategic plan.
In other words cheating "Ordinary Tamils".
There are two important things even Kariyage does not highlight about JVP.
1. Number one is depriving the Youth of their Youth and to stand on their own feet without a "bizarre party" propping them up.
As
Champika says it is these timid guys in the first year who are propped
up as student leaders and none over time become national leaders.
2. The second is the destruction of public property with callous disregard.
I was practical man was instrumental in getting rid of Sirima, N.M. and Peter Keinaman.
It started when I was an Intern and it matured within 6 years to oust Sirima.
Ist Episode
I was invincible in my work place and I did not behave like a rotten egg, generally speaking, which Labour Union guys are.
I get activated at 9 P.M. when everybody is retiring to bed.
Plot
is hatched over night, without breaking the law of the country and
patients were very well looked after by a skeleton staff.
This is not agonist the poor patients but the rotten government.
2nd Episode in UK
When I entered UK, 60% of the Doctors were from overseas. The majority were from Ceylon.
We
did not have a Union and I closely followed the Labour Union activity
in Yorkshire and formed a primitive "Overseas Doctors Association" and
got our U.M.T raised within six months.
Then there was a long drawn out action to get 1 in 3 rota.
I never got a 1 in 3 rota for 8 years and by that time I made a firm decision to return home due to many reasons.
British doctors were lazy and never did one in two rota at out time.
3nd Episode
Ousting Mahinda Rajapaksa
Plan was well executed and guys like Dulles Alahapperuma did not know from where we operated.
We even had a skeleton International Staff.
That is when he forgot the country and look after only the family and family members.
I do not mind party members left riding up beating the family.
4th Episode
In New Zealand
I
was getting the salary for three and that actually was very reason for
my downfall.
They could not sack me but reorganized the structure. I
stuck to my contract but the one who offered me the job lost his post
without compensation.
New Zealand doctors were the laziest and under Labour Law they never worked beyond 40-44 hours but I did over 82 (almost double) on one week.
I threatened to take legal action unless they keep the contract I signed with them.
Only think they could do was not to renew the contract.
Two
weeks later I was back in Ceylon and of course, I did not want my wife
to lose her job in Ceylon. She had taken only two years unpaid leave and
she returned 8 weeks earlier in good time. If one loses a job in Ceylon
it is very difficult to regain or recover.
That is the reality.
5. JRJ
I was lucky to be out of this country, for decade when he was in power.
I
signed his last blood report and said I am signing a dead man's report
and left Navaloka and when I reached Ragama by train, I saw the white
flags coming up. I did not pay a visit to him and his final fee fays
were supposed to be pathetic.
I was in Ceylon on holiday when his "Kalagedi Selllama" was on display.
Ever since, I hate this mechanism called referendum.
The distortion and ruin he brought to our simple one past the post system cannot be redeemed.
One crime of my life was voting for him once before leaving Ceylon.
It was not a "For Vote" but a " protest vote".
I
voluntarily removed my name from the "Voter Register" for over 20 years
and renewed it only to get the passport to leave Ceylon for good.
The above is to show I had an active service in Ceylon and Abroad.
Big Picture
Unlike in the West we cannot use statistics to analyze politics in Ceylon.
A 3% shift is enough to make a landslide in the West.
JVP/NPP rise was the biggest aberration to our politics, that is why I call it the "Flash In The Pan" and I did not believe it will sink within 7 months..
Simple logic, lies and promised that cannot be fulfilled.
Lies, damn lies and pseudo-statistics.
If Kumar David would have been alive he would made an accurate analysis. Unfortunately, he is gone and he had ample historical material.
I am no replacement at all.
Historical Base Lines in Ceylon
30% pseudo left
30% pseudo right
40% uncommitted or floating vote.
My Wish
20% real left
20% real right
60% silent masses, that is when the system change is possible.
In other words majority overtakes the politicians of the day.
This was slowly happening in Ceylon but these NPP guys ruined it.
Politically, nationality and internationally they are immature and cannot take the mantle.
In other words kindergarten type.
Sorry for me being blunt and that is the reality.
So
in another two years (time to sink in the current aberrant reality), we
get another chance to revisit or recharge our politics.
Dump the old radical views.
People friendly not party friendly evolution should happen not automatically but by careful education.
Champika Ranawake has a role within the parliament or outside of it.
Ravi Kumudesh has a place in educating the misguided masses.
Average citizen in my opinion is still stupid but nobody can openly say that which is a political suicide if a politician does it.
Citizen always think he or she is very smart once in 5 years.
That is the tragedy.
End result was a party which has done irreparable damage to our economy coming to power when economy has hit the rock bottom.
"Dayiwopagatha Karmaya Pala Deema".
"Munta Dharmaya Therrenne Nane".
That is why I say we should have elections every 3 years as in General Management.
1. One year to learn.
2. One year to act on the job.
3. Third year either to quit or plan to reenter or taste the rotten egg.
I can make these valid comments since I am fully retired doctor who is not even living in Ceylon.
During my time I did my part withing available resources.
Hope a rising political star is born within the next decade.
I say, if Dudley Senanayake is Reborn, somewhere in Ceylon, he should rise up NOW.
1. NPP
4.5 millions
43.6%
3926 seats
2. SJB
2.25 mullions
21.69%
1767 seats
3. SLPP
0.94
9.1%
741 seats
4. UNP
0.488
4.69%
Seats 381
5. PA
0.388
3.72%
Seats 300
SB
0.294
2.83%
Seats 226
Rest
25% mostly in the North.
377 seats
Summary
Presidential Election
5.7 millions
42%
General Election
68 millions
61%
Provincial Council Elections
2.3 millions less totaling about 2.1 millions
43.6%
One (1%) per cent increase which is statistically not significant.
With a massive campaign they could not muster 3% that Australian Labour party achieved.
Calculation based on 40% of 5.6 millions is roughly 2.2 millions.
There actual base is 3% and rest 37% has come from the "Floating Vote" or usually in Ceylon, it is the "Protest Vote" against the party in power.
The "Protest Vote" has not come, yet.
In fact, this protest vote guys prudently kept away from voting instead of voting for the opposition.
What it means is that they are ready to give some limited space for these bone heads but stupid guys a chance.
This is for YouTube guys.
"Uddachcha Kamai" "Ola Mottala Kamai Ekatu Unama" "Wenne Mokkada Machan"
"Jangiye Chu Unawane, Ne"
That is my closing beat to JVP/NPP supporters especially these "YouTube Guys".
Unlike Indian voters in Ceylon the voters are less emotional but mature.
They do not want upset the Apple Cart.
My guess-estimate is NPP/JVP will destroy themselves.
We just have to observe them patiently.
Their behaviour or "Thuga Damima" in public especially in the parliament is not going to work but destroy themselves.
Verdict
Talk Only Show
NATO
No Action Talk Only Show
When the next round of election comes it will dip to 20% to 25% not enough to become even a powerful opposition just like SJB.
I am hopefully waiting for the emergence of TRULY Progressive Alliance (not a single party) of politically astute gathering from the SILENT Majority.
Sitting on the bench is not the way but Participatory Democracy is essential.
It is high time that this process becomes a realty since we are heading for the abyss.
Country before the party should be the slogan.
In any case NPP/JVP is just the " Flash on the Frying Pan".
Sorry for me being pessimistic.
I saw this in broad day light.
How Mahinda Rajapaksa squandered the golden opportunity by being self centered and working for his family and the goons.
I have long term experience with these guys from 1971 to 1989.
I
have always against their arrogant, impulsive and destructive politics.
They lack the natural and intuitive politics which is the need of the
moment.
Me leaving the country (like many others) having done my part without "pomp and pagan" in my twilight years is the living testimony to how puerile our politics have been.
But my hats off to guys like Harsha De Silva who sacrifice his talent to politics in spite of so many odds.
He sticking in the opposition itself needs lot of grit.
I think Sajith should had over the baton to him and organize the party from grass root level not allowing the "Sutra Pincha" to eat into his base.
Ranil is
another guy who is a political pest (should be in the political dustbin
in India) who should be violently evicted from our body politics.
He is a Greedy Guy and Lacks Vision.
This one must say to his face to destroy him politically not physically.
I abhor physical violence which was "his trade mark" and known to be utilized at Batalanda.
DO NOT HAVE any dealing with him.
He is using Anura to undermine Sajith.
If
Sajith take a side step and take a welcome break and let others take
the the baton ousting Anura is a "cake walk" in due course.
Break their back in two years.
Waiting for five years is STUPID.
I was one who stood up against JVP/DJVP when it was the necessity in 1971 and 1989.
These guys would ruin our economy and that is what Indians are wishing and waiting for.
Every minute in politics matters.
SLPP is waiting in the Wing and their Think Tanks are on overdrive and hard at work.
Do not give them a fighting chance to be second but let them be in third place which is realistic.
About Ranil;
"Panuwek Wage Ahaka Danna Oene Minihek"
I hope Harsh De Silva will not fall into his Traps and "his ill gotten money".
Not money but "Wisdom and Vision" is the need of the day.
He is even worse than to S.B.D. in political back stabbing.
"Devio Sakki" is politically invigorating and inspiring to the carder.
Do not revisit the phrase but find new themes.
"Palu Gedara Walan Bidinno = JVP Eka".
What it means is only seeing others faults but not something in one's own eye.
We have enough phrases in our vocabulary which I have forgotten in old age.
Equally I despise guys like Wijedasa Rajapaksa who were wheeler dealers and S.B.Dissanayake the "back stabbing guys".
Very soon, Dilip Jayaweera and Dammka Perera will add to the failing list.
I
have already shown that NPP/ JVP is the only party in power who started
losing its popularity within six months mainly due to the credible gap
between it's promises and its performance capacity.
Furthermore, it has lost its base vote value to around 40% from 44% in the local elections, a 4% drop which is politically significant.
SJB had kept it's voter base at around 25%.
SLPP is maintaining it's base of 7.5% a drop of 2.5% from its 10% base.
However, is PA/SLFP is just ahead of UNP and keeping at 5% level.
It did not contest last time round and I am unable to see any of its trends except
Attanagalla and Gamphaha which is losing its grip to J.V.P.
JVP gulped part of its voter base and unless it opposes this trend of JVP it will become and extinct political species
Then the SB which
came in with a view of establishing as a new and modern parry, in spite
of throwing money at will it could not keep it's 10% presidential
election total, simply because it is not presenting an alternative policy that can revive this country.
It is more of the same JRJ "consumerism politics" or "open economy" without a workable program, nonetheless a theory ad nauseam.
It looks like it is eating into UNP base of 5%.
The biggest loser is UNP which is now hovering around 2.5% well below SLPP.
I wish to propose these two elements (Ranil/Dilip) including Dhammika Perera who financed politics from KUNU Deals from UK (hospital refuse from the West imported to Ceylon and India)
The
bottom line is rhetoric of NPP/JVP is fast losing credibility in the
political sphere and their ability govern and pull the country together.
They are good at counter arguments but not governing the country as a sovereign state.
In other words timidity towards India and trying to reach far away country like Vietnam.
No brainier from the start.
Hiring
a plane from Vietnem from its resources abroad is the culmination of
their "bone or pigheadedness" whatever their explanation in defense.
If Sajith did such a thing these YouTube guys would have field day.
However, they are able to keep near 50% popularity in villages and suburbs that is why their nickname "Game Ranil" in "Jangi Aragalaya".
In my analysis NPP is just "Flash in the Pan" political movement which will settle down at somewhere around 25% level just like SJB in the long run which is a significant improvement from 3% carder level politics (which is 2% outside the statistically significant 5% outliers).
In any case, their recent shift from rhetoric and carder level politics to populism of the far right will not be good for their own survival but would be the gradual deterioration into "we also ran or we also governed in Ceylon" .
That would be the recorded in that way in political history.
I am trying to be "Kumar David" a veteran Marxist Political Analyst.
He passed away, recently in California just like Nalin De Silva in America (?where I do not know).
In
their own analysis and expressions they raised the bar high enough even
their carder itself cannot rise up to when the occasion demands.
That is the reality of local or grass root level politics.
Their exuberance (Thota Langa and Maligawa Episodes) and artificial self confidence that they can solve any problem in Ceylon are to their own ruin.
I am happy people have quickly understood their own predicament and how politics works and they will automatically lower their expectations and get on with their normal day to day life.
The System Change is eluding them by design.
It is a sad predicament.
Without money in the coffers and no way to improve productivity we will gradually fall into the abyss.
I would quit politics, right now but my Anti-Indian stance will be the end point, discussed below.
In the final analysis, JVP's bone headedness and having to learn while on the driving wheel would be a disaster for the entire country.
I think they never expected this type of victory and thankfully the general public has realized their premature aspirations would evaporate into thin air and have stamped a reasonable brake on their military type of administration.
If they realize that running a state is different from running a party that would be the beginning.
It
does not look like they are ready learn and unfortunately that is their
style and common sense does not prevail in their machinery.
I hope I am proven wrong.
It was a big distraction to my academic work and Linux promotion to 10% of the PC User Base.
Yes, I am fast approaching that target.
Reborn OS or Reborn ARCH Linux is my current interest.
In India Linux use is less than 3% simply because Indian cannot make money on Linux with "War on Muslims" looking eminent.
Only British United India and it will fracture again in no time.
