AI and MAD

 

AI and MAD

This piece is to highlight that the "War ofAttrition" has no currency when AI is at work. Nobody seems to have understood this precarious situation. 

I do not think even China has given credence to this evolving situation.

China is obsessed with AI.

Russia in my belief does not believe in efficiency of the AI operations. It may be useful in a battle situation where surprise is intended. They still believe in human intelligence supervising the  AI drones.

I do not want to use the term AI spy agents.

They have boots on the ground.

If AI is given the full control what evolves has no logic or algorithm. Americans do not have reliable boots on the ground and depend heavily on AI gathered intelligence.

At best AI stops at 95% efficiency.

The outlier of 5% is the one which leads to catastrophe in an AI battle of supremacy.                     

The End Game has no logical endpoint but depends on the redundant data set of uncertainty.

It is presumed to be infinity.

In scientific sense, infinity has a different connotation.

As for knee jerk reaction, I think we have to worry and suspect Americans who would jump the gun prematurely, on a preemptive strike.

Beware.

By the way, this is an American manufactured war. Russia never wanted a war in Ukraine but they preferred negotiations. It was the war monger, Boris Johnson who coaxed Zelensky into the war path. Already one million Ukrainians have scarified their life to war of attrition.

It is easy to start a war.

It is very difficult to stop.

In human terms at this point of time, diplomacy, may or may not work.

The stakes are very high.

Then man made devices are used preemptively.

We have examples in history and the Atomic Bomb in Japan did end the World War II.

Unfortunately, we never managed to come to term with Strategic Arms Control for a sustainable period of time in our history. The Treaty for  Nuclear Arms Control ends in 2025. Russia proactively extended it by one year.

There is no attempt to reactivate this Treaty.

Due to Presidential election in USA, no attempt to end this war was envisaged.

Status quo remains fragile.

Democratic mechanisms may fail in this type of scenario.

One man rule like in China may fail.

Dialogue may fail.

We have a vulnerable president in power, at a time where diplomacy is at zero strength.

The end game or end point is in "a state of flux".

When we have unstable leaders who do not have mature advisers to lead them, the tendency to rely on AI is realistic. Paradoxically guys who may be eyeing for a  regime change in USA may become proactive. This was regime change in reverse gear.

The man who envisaged Regime Change in Russia will be a victim of his own devises.

The pendulum swings from war to no war.

Putting the finger on the AI button, is a realistic probability. It is literally called the "Panic Button". This is an example of “Uncertainty Principle”, hard at work.

Victory is uncertain but stale mate is factual.

War posturing against Iran by Israel was evident. The 12 day attempt at regime change did not come to fruition. The tendency is the same but this time Iran is well prepared and there seem to be some cohesion with third parties.

Russia and China have helped in the surveillance strategy which Iran refused in the first instance.

Everything is in volatile mode with two guys over 80 heading the regimes.

I would stop at that.

Mutually Assured Destruction may ensure.