Gompertz Function and Curve

It is fitting to finish my blog function as a Gompertz curve.

My blog function started slowly, then had an exponential growth and tailed off.

The war in Ukraine and my antagonism to American Proxy War made me to come out of hibernation and bring out the Dhamma Principle of Uncertainty of life in the battle field.

American propaganda is now in decline with impending colossal loss to the Democratic Party.

This episode did not follow the Gompertz function.

There is no mathematical equation for catastrophy.

The Gompertz function was domain of actuaries who were interested in risk of death.

Currently it is manifested in stock market and its eventual fall.

It has three variables a, b and c.
These variables follow calculus model.

But the curve is in two axis of x and y and is very simply informative.

I hated calculus since my interest was physics with motion and constants without a real time dimension and even exploding into 4th and 5th dimensions.

I also hate statistical bell shape curve model which cannot be expressed in Gompertz's terms. On surface, the outliers and the middle portion shows similar behaviour but the gradients of outliers are unnatural and acute or sharp.

Insurance companies fear death that means payment and loss of capital.

Their obsession is the risk of death.

The lower the risk of death and higher the number of young people included in the protocol better their profits.

They calculate the risk for each age group and determine the premium that has to be paid.

The large pension schemes also use the Gompetz Function for its investment plans.

This is where I have my reservation for private pension schemes.

The Gomperz curve has a universal claim away from its original death and actuaries.

Tumour growth, cell culture growth and bacterial growth follow Gompertz function but they have more variables than the 3 in the said curve.

That is why I love it.

Abortion Rate in Ceylon

This function can be used to derive the real growth, putative growth and what is reported by the Health Ministry (reported to WHO) of the Abortion Rate in Ceylon.

I am going to propose a lucrative proposal to our Health Minister (better known as a thug) a money making industry in Ceylon.

In some states of America abortion is prohibited by law. In this proposal American supposed to be illegally pregnant women should be allowed free Visa to visit Ceylon on holiday.

By the way, abortion is illegal in Ceylon and nobody had been persecuted for this offense for over 70 years.

The doctors and guys and girls  involved in this industry have ways and means to bypass the law.

Thankfully, in my discipline I have not seen a single case except still births. However, forensic guys see more of the bizarre cases like the putative father a Catholic or Buddhist priest and unnatural death.

For the equation the variables are;

1. Naturally occuring abortions. Factor a.

2. Illegal abortions by non professional guys and girls. Factor b.

3. Legal abortions performed in the public sector and private sector institutions. Factor c.

Abortion is a lucrative industry in Ceylon.

My observation is that the average age of first pregnancy is 28 in Ceylon which is 12 years above western estimates.

Are you going to say our girls are poor virgins till 28?

Even in prison women become pregnant in Ceylon.
There is current MP who went to prison making an underage girl pregnant. There is another popular singer who went to prison raping an understand girl.

This is probably common among this industry here and abroad.

Infertility is very high in Ceylon and that is related to poor post abortion care and Fallopian tube infections.

We cannot apply this to moral or Buddhist background. What I know is Buddhist monks have made young women pregnant and they are the first category to promote this industry.

If we apply the available data in Ceylon we are unlikely to see the Gompartz behaviour.

So my premise is by using this curve we can show how far away the putative number deviates from the real biological trend.

It is difficult but a worthwhile candidate for a PhD thesis.

The real problem is women keep numb about (more secretive than virginity) abortions and underreport episodes.

Prerequisite for the study is to evaluate the less than desirable openness in reporting (rather lack of reporting incidents)

The number of Tele Drama episodes over the past 70 years is an indirect indication of the prevalence of legal and illegal abortions in Ceylon.

This is not about Truth Factor but about Validity of  Data Collection in planing for this industry.

Currently it is ad hoc.

ChatGPT an AI instrument are valid tools for deriving the trend so that proper pre event education of the vulnerable souls.

This is my last piece and I hope the reader use discretion and empathy on this issue and evade religious and cultural stigma which is a significant  barrier to objective analysis.

That is why I suggest one should do a PhD on Sociological Grounds, like the study of suicide in Ceylon.

Suicide is linked to this issue.

I will not discuss this matter in future even if a guy or girl who wants advice before diving deep.

Absolutely no comments here on this site.

Now what is the difference from accounting?

Accountants are interested in taxes and capital gains and how to evade payment to government coffers.

Gompertz function is not attractive to them.

Tax rates are arbitrary in Ceylon.