This piece is in evolution.
I am not a militaryman but a scientific analyst.
Scott Ritter who is a military expert is agreeing with me.
There is another point of interest here which is that sanctions do not inhibit but energize new innervations.
With our Internal Conflict with LTTE (LTTE created by Indian RAW), there were sanctions imposed by the West on Ceylon.
Ukraine helped us when nobody was helping us. That is why my interest in that conflict.
Sanctions breeds innovative tactics.
Iran was sanctioned and they slowly but surely increased their capacity of ground to air salvos.
Americans believed in Air Superiority.
Already one or two Israel planes were downed and Air Industry including French Rafael crafts have no buyer in the future.
Iranians are not stupid but intelligent.
I have associted with Iranian students in my teaching career and they are above average.
YES, the American (West) Doctrine of Air Superiority would win Any War has No Validity.
It is an outdated principle.
1. First country to learn that lesson was Russia.
That was after three years of war with Ukraine.
2. Second country learnt that lesson was India.
War with Pakistan where China mitigated air offence.
3. Third country that would learn that lesson would be Israel.
I think Israel is fast learning that fact.
In the current day of war Air Planes are soft targets.
Even a ChatGPT linked to a missile battery can take an air plane off a mission.
Russia has made a new doctrine (Listen to President Putin's recent speech, to his military hierarchy), that air superiority depends on the number of manned and unmanned Ariel Projectiles that the country possess, especially the super-subsonic missiles to which Ukraine has no answer.
Iran that does not have air power.
Iran heavily depends on ground to air missiles stored deeply underground.
They will systemically use them to deplete Israel's surface to surface and surface to ground missiles in stages.
I think Israel has made a strategic blunder.
They cannot get enough supply of ground to surface missiles from the western sources.
They do not produce them in adequate numbers.
Only country, who is producing missiles in numbers and having a big store is Russia.
Even Yemeni has enough in their store.
Israel cannot ask help from Russia since, Israelists covertly helped Ukraine with military hardware and drone technology.
That is again a strategic mistake.
Besides, Russia has Oreshnik before going for the nuclear option (arsenal).
There is no win-win situation in modern warfare.
Small countries thinking big is a disease.
We have this disease in Ceylon and we have already antagonized Pakistan by siding with India.
There is no country in this world which can raise the head above water and enter diplomacy.
Ceylon used to be but not any more by having signed agreements with Modi in Public.
We must get rid of this NPP/JVP Combo to avoid war in our doorstep.
Non Alignment is dead now.
MAD or Mutually Assured Destruction is in Motion.
I need not say "Third World War" has begun!
I think I am ready to kick the bucket but what about the Young Souls who are making a big percentage in our population statistics?
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