Sunday, September 10, 2023

Power and War, An Anaysis

This is to state the forms of wars in human history.

Human history is studded with wars.

Do not go away with the idea that wars are fought on economic grounds.

I have listed below  the five important reasons.

Number one is religion.
Ottoman empire is one.
They are called crusades.
Israel is another.

If wars are fought on religious grounds what is the use of a religion?

This question I have raised for many years and no religious convert is willing to answer.

That is why I say religion is an incurable brain virus.

China killed 70 million in Tibet.
Dalai Lama is a peaceful guy nobody stood for him.
Come Ukraine Military Industrial Complex was ready and waiting.
MIC had armed the Ukraine army to the hilt, out of proportion to its size and needs.
It is clear this was s well designed project and was in the plan for over 10 years.

Pakistan and India had fought wars but they are amenable to diplomatic channels.

India and Pakistan cannot stage cricket in respective countries.

But they still play cricket on neutral grounds,  in Ceylon.

Crowd violence add to the problems.

China and India fought 3 wars.
China invaded Tibet amd Tajikistan.

Even Vietnam fought war with China.
Vietnamese do not trust Chinese.

India does not have a border with China.

Kazakhstan
Central Asian country.
Russia to the north and west.
China to the east.
Kyrgyzstan to the south east
Uzbekistan to the south
Turkmenistan to the south west

Kyrgyzstan
Conquered by Russia.
It has oil, gas  and natural resources.
Turkic people slowly replaced and assimilated previously Iranian speaking locals.
Alexander invaded it by failed to suppress it.

Part of it was occupied by Ottoman empire.

Macedonia is the old name for present Greece.

Osman the Turkish ruler established the Ottoman (Anatolia) empire now called Turkey.

At least three wars over Middle Ages to First World War.

Turks of Ottoman empire subjugated Greece but over subsequent treaties Greece claimed its own territories. 

Cyprus though a Greek / Turkish speaking nation is a separate state but part of it is  retained by UK.

Greek Cypriots are the majority and are Orthodox Christians.

Turkish Cypriots are the minority and are Muslims.

Largest Greek island is Crete.


Turkmenistan

Tajikistan
Separated from Pakistan from Afghanistan by a narrow strip of land.
Afghanistan to the south
Uzbekistan to the west
Kazakhstan to the north
China to the east

It was conquered by Soviet Union.


Uzbekistan
Tibet, Nepal,Tajikistan, Pakistan and Bangladesh are buffer countries that prevent direct access of India to China.

Queen Victoria and Elizabeth built an empire with wars fought all over the world.

Afghanistan was the only country who fought to the bitter end.

United Kingdom lost to Afghanistan.
Russia fought for 17 years and lost over 15,000 soldiers.
America fought for 20 years and lost over 20,000 soldiers.

Hitler is a good example of ethnic cleansing.

First and Second Wars were fought on political grounds.
Vietnam war was the best on political grounds (communism and capitalism).

All other wars including Middle East wars are fought on economic reason.
For oil resources.

Ukraine war is different.
It is based on Hate.
But other reason is ideology.
Russia is not capitalistic but socialist.
That is the reason for war.

But the main reason is to support Military Industrial Complex of USA and UK.

In other words people take up power or sit on powerful posts to propagate war.

Bertrand Russel failed to elaborate on War mongering in his book on power.

I think he was against World War I but he supported World War II.

He was ambivalent, I suppose.

In my case, I am against all types of wars but I am not a diplomat to raise the need for dialogue and diplomacy.

Power corrupts humanity and absolute power corrupts absolutely.

Humanity has yet to devise a fool proof political mechanism.

I think humanity would be able to move forward albeit slowly.

Internet has given that opportunity to mankind.
It is slowly moving forward.

Everybody has to be an active participant.

1. Power of the Church (Priests)

2. Power of State (Kings and Presidents)

3. Power of Identity (Race, Castes and Social Status)

4. Economic Power (Banks, Lending agents like IMF)

5. Power of Politics

All the above power systems have encouraged war and they will continue in spite of us having the UNO.

UNO is a white elephant.

We are already into the Third World War.

Already 50 countries are supporting Ukraine Proxy War initiated by America and no sovereign country has remained neutral.

China and India are playing a duplicate game.

China has the biggest Army in the world and getting ready to fight America on Taiwan.

That will complete World War III, scenario!


Totalitarian or Dictatorship.
Stalin, Hitler, Francos and Mussolini

Distributed Power
Democratic Institutes

Hybrid Power of both Parliament and Executive Presidency
Ceylon is a hybrid state that failed miserably.
We do not have oil but our gas resources are yet to be harnessed.


Capitalism
An economic and political system where a country's trade, industry and  wealth is controlled by private individuals for profit.
It is assumes that profits drives the economy forward without state control.
It is not free for all but a self regulating economic instrument.

In theory it is fabulous but in practice much more virulent.

Supply and demand flow can be adjusted in favour of the margin of profit.
Its mechanics are always in upward direction and assume no nose drives.

But when there is a lot of competition invariably nose dives do occur.
When this happens the big sharks gobble the small fish bringing some artificial equilibrium.

The essential feature of capitalism is to motivate individuals and industry  to make profits.

There are exceptions.
Pharmaceutical Industry is the classic example.

Have you ever heard a pharmacy going bankrupt?

Late professor Senaka Bible took a chance and developed the State Pharmaceutical Company. 

JRJ's sister Gladis ruined it and it is functioning as a rudimentary compamy.


Communism

States owns all property.
There is no democracy, class, religion or private sector.
But it has metamorphosed into Workers (sometimes like slaves) and Ruling Elite.

Marxism
Marxism rejected the egalitarianism on the basis of already existing workers and owners (two distinct classes) dichotomy in the middle ages.

Classless, stateless, moneyless and humane society would only emerges when inequality in all levels are reduced to the minimum.

It is a distant dream but worth working for and no human society has achieved that goal.

Marxism was based on industrial society.

Present day society is much complicated.


Socialism
Socialism is the transitional state between overthrow of capitalism to realization of communism. It is a political ideology that gives workers of collective ownership (tools, land and buildings) and it is the responsibility of the workers to manage a particular industry. It is not state owned but the state allocates resources to the public on demand basis.

Russia
Russia is an anomaly.
It has shifted from industrial economy to a market or capitalist economy where oil, gases and mining bring lot of money to the state coffers.
The guys and girls managing these industries became oligarchs who started pilfering money to the West (UK and US) surreptitiously.

Putin had to fire them but many escaped to the West.
Ukraine war gave added unexpected bonus to Russia with Middle Eastern countries cutting down production and jacking up oil prices. China does not have enough oil and gas for its industry and that made the sour relationship with Russia to mellow down and become trusting allies.

The laxity of sanctions control imposed on Russia and apparent inability to make it global instrument has caused Russia to bounce back.

Trade Embargoes generally work in opposite detection to what is anticipated.

Scarcity of commodities not only jack up prices but also promote illegal mechanisms.

G20 countries control only 50 countries.
BRICS with more than 70 countries behind them make American sanctions only hurt the five major countries the most, Canada, New Zealand,  UK, US and Australia.

The capitalist hegemony has its own limitations and is slowly crumbling.


Utilitarianism
Utilitarianism believes in greatest good for greatest number of people.


Humanism
Humanist do not believe in god.
Look for alternatives to dogmatism in religion.

Its individual assets include
Freedom
Dignity
Morality
Transcendence
Ethical
Rational
Common good as opposed to selfish motives
Liberty
Human rights
Individual rights
Bound by social responsibility
Law abiding by nature not by force

There are many other shades of social developments.
None has brought perfect balance between rules and subjects.

Early civilizations did not have religions.
I think the lack of balance in civilian administration lead to moral obligations which blossomed into various religions.

Religions actually did not provide solutions.

It started with good and bad.
The science was late development.

The correct connotation Right, Wrong and nether Right nor Wrong was only a theory and did not have pragmatic values.

Land and economy took precedence and laws came in to protect the land owners.

Liberation and revolution were only late developments.

Karl Marx of course analysed it well but was hesitant to throw out ready made solutions.
His anticipated utopia has long eluded humanity.


Anarchism
Revolution
Authoritarian
Terrorism

Egalitarian in all spheres including moral, economic, political, legal, racial and gender.

Elitism
Dominance of society or system by elites.
False belief that is the best available.

Simple common sense approach is disposed of in favour of this elite class.

America is good example where neocolonial community of rich guys behind Biden and WHITE HOUSE failed the community of the democratic voters who now take scum out of the dustbin to live.

That is the reality.

Defined by
Notability
Power
Wealth
Skills
Intellect
Interest of a group silicon valley is good example




Tragedy of Philosophy and Disintegration of Humanity

We are going through a critical period.

The emerging trend is not good.

Changing dynamics or uncertainty is not new to humanity.

My worry is certain interest groups like Bilderbergs are trying to manipulate the underlying currents to their advantage.

The proxi war in Ukraine is only the front end, the nefarious backend is there to create crisis within the crisis. 

War brings poverty, disease, dislodgement and displacement of large communities including children.
Child abuse, child labour, prostitution, illegal organ farms, use of mood altering drugs and abuse of conscripts in the name of saving the nations are the front end.

The back end is more sinister.

Large stacks of money is stashed and exchanged in the cyber crime world outside the monetary system.

That is the human dimension.

The philosophical dimension is very subtle.

Woke culture, disregard for cultural norms and mass human migration looking for the utopia or presumed freedom from social ills are the philosophical dimensions.

Unlike the "New Age Era" when the dynamics of change was subtle but the current crisis is global due to Internet misinformation campaign brought on by media like CNN, Fox News and the BBC.

Media output is doctored by the groups created by the subsidiaries of Bilderbergs.

The penetration of the alternative media coverage is not adequate.
Bilderbergs are not visible in the front end.
They always remain invisible in the background.

Banking crisis is not visible and the stock market does not reflect the underlying trends.

It will take sometime for the BRICS to mitigate the Rich and the Poor Divide.

Millions will succumb to starvation and social inequality.

Not being a guy from economics, I cannot predict the trends.

I have tried a simple scientific analysis and my analysis is not full proof and it goes like this;

1. Tragedy of Philosophy to see the current trend and direction.

2. Inevitable human tragedy or impending disintegration.

I am becoming pessimistic and not optimistic.