Wednesday, February 24, 2016

Franchise a mathematical marvel or an aberration of Sri-Lankan Polity

Franchise a mathematical marvel or an aberration of Sri-Lankan Polity
In mathematics only three words tend to interest me. They are the zero, the infinity and the range of values that abstracts everything else in between. 


In statistics (which I had been skeptical all my life) where figures can be manipulated to show (Coconut or the Polkiri Saga) the desired result instead of the underlying inherent tendency (in Sri-Lankan polity it is the damn lies to the average masses and in LTTE philosophy it is the blatant lying to the international community) the few words I tend to regard influential in my thinking are the distribution, the tendency and skewing either to the right or the left out of the many useless terms of insignificance.

If I may explain what they mean in simple terms, the normal distribution is where the range of values (ideas) is distributed graphically like a bell (with a smooth curve on it surface).

In this distribution 68% fall within the centre (the majority fall within this) and 95% fall within the overall bell (shape) distribution and only 5% fall outside the "graphic bell". 

If anything falls within this 5% area (which is outside the 95% normal distribution) it is taken as an exception to the rule and something remarkable or abnormal feature is declared. 
In different distribution the bell shape may vary from a tall bell to a fat broad bell. When range of values (ideas) is narrow the bell is narrow and when there is wide range of values the bell becomes broader and looking fat. 
Any opinion or idea or value taking this shape is called a normal tendency and distribution.

But in political terms the opinion / or opinions is / are shifted to one side (either to the right or to the left) and this shifting either to the right or left is called skewing. 

This skewing is not accepted as normal in statistical terms but in real life this skewing has known for its presence almost instantaneously especially in political dealing and opinion making. 
Whether it is Chandrika, Ranil or Mahinda Chintanaya for that matter NGO Chinthanaya and Jathika Chinthanaya are concerned they never fall into normal accepted distribution of the majority. 

The minority rules the opinion and the majority has no opinion left to express. 

This is true in economics too. 
The rich makes the decisions and the poor takes the leftovers and dhanas on the big poya days.

What is significant in statistical sense that the international community exaggerates this skewing effect in the third world countries since their eyes are congenitally skewed and can never be treated in a medical sense?

When it comes to democratic exercises the Sri-Lankan polity is permanently skewed beyond any redeem after the JRJ's mathematical exercise of constitutional changes of insane dimensions.

Why I say so is open to discussion by any sane Sri-Lankans (if there are any left since most the sane ones have left the shores and only the insane ones-some with split minds- or already retired  who return to this island after long  stay in the west to avoid the extremes of weather there) left in this country.

First insane observation was that having perused the election results from independence to 1977 (he did not realize that if not for the first past the post system he would not have got -more than- the two third of the majority) that the UNP had a rock solid block vote. 

First insane inference was that if the electoral system be tampered with the UNP and the ruling class can be in power eternally and maintain the skewed distribution of political power. 
He never realized if the power slips to the other side they would maintain this skewed distribution for donkey's years by hook or crook.

Second insane observation was that all the candidates over period of time lost the margin of majority over time. 

The remedy (inference) was fantastically insane. 

Each time a voter casts a vote multiply it by a factor of three so that the candidate's popularity is exaggerated by 300%.  
This was a fantastic ploy to hoodwink the average man in the street who has not got an average understanding in arithmetic except for counting fingers and figures.

For example a man who gets about 2250 votes which in actual fact is only 750 voters who would have exercised the franchise at their will (barring rigging which can be substantial in a country where a dead man can vote- my father in law voted from heaven in one of the presidential elections).

The irony is that these peoples representatives get their images bloated out of proportion (none of them had any images before becoming representatives and our media bloat them further by reporting their act of omissions) to the needs of the poor masses (physical bloating an independent issue- none of them look healthy specimen to emulate the feat of our Commonwealth Games Gold Medalist from Polonnaruwa).

The third observation was that when the Kings were ruling this country the people were better off and replacing the Kings / or Queens with a Presidential candidate with only 50% of the vote is the miracle cure for our failures in the past in governance.

Little he realized that only essential road to success is broken promises and damn lies-pathological in dimension.

An aberration par excellence is that when 50% is not cast to engineer a second count.

Unfortunately 49% of the voters want have a King / or Queen of their choFranchise a mathematical marvel or an aberration of Sri-Lankan Polity
In mathematics only three words tend to interest me. They are the zero, the infinity and the range of values that abstracts everything else in between. In statistics (which I had been skeptical all my life) where figures can be manipulated to show (Coconut or the Polkiri Saga) the desired result instead of the underlying inherent tendency (in Sri-Lankan polity it is the damn lies to the average masses and in LTTE philosophy it is the blatant lying to the international community) the few words I tend to regard influential in my thinking are the distribution, the tendency and skewing either to the right or the left out of the many useless terms of insignificance.

If I may explain what they mean in simple terms, the normal distribution is where the range of values (ideas) is distributed graphically like a bell (with a smooth curve on it surface). In this distribution 68% fall within the centre (the majority fall within this) and 95% fall within the overall bell (shape) distribution and only 5% fall outside the "graphic bell". If anything falls within this 5% area (which is outside the 95% normal distribution) it is taken as an exception to the rule and something remarkable or abnormal feature is declared. In different distribution the bell shape may vary from a tall bell to a fat broad bell. When range of values (ideas) is narrow the bell is narrow and when there is wide range of values the bell becomes broader and looking fat. Any opinion or idea or value taking this shape is called a normal tendency and distribution.

But in political terms the opinion / or opinions is / are shifted to one side (either to the right or to the left) and this shifting either to the right or left is called skewing. This skewing is not accepted as normal in statistical terms but in real life this skewing has known for its presence almost instantaneously especially in political dealing and opinion making. Whether it is Chandrika, Ranil or Mahinda Chintanaya for that matter NGO Chinthanaya and Jathika Chinthanaya are concerned they never fall into normal accepted distribution of the majority. The minority rules the opinion and the majority has no opinion left to express. This is true in economics too. The rich makes the decisions and the poor takes the leftovers and dhanas on the big poya days.

What is significant in statistical sense that the international community exaggerates this skewing effect in the third world countries since their eyes are congenitally skewed and can never be treated in a medical sense?

When it comes to democratic exercises the Sri-Lankan polity is permanently skewed beyond any redeem after the JRJ's mathematical exercise of constitutional changes of insane dimensions.

Why I say so is open to discussion by any sane Sri-Lankans (if there are any left since most the sane ones have left the shores and only the insane ones-some with split minds- or already retired  who return to this island after long  stay in the west to avoid the extremes of weather there) left in this country.

First insane observation was that having perused the election results from independence to 1977 (he did not realize that if not for the first past the post system he would not have got -more than- the two third of the majority) that the UNP had a rock solid block vote. First insane inference was that if the electoral system be tampered with the UNP and the ruling class can be in power eternally and maintain the skewed distribution of political power. He never realized if the power slips to the other side they would maintain this skewed distribution for donkey's years by hook or crook.

Second insane observation was that all the candidates over period of time lost the margin of majority over time. The remedy (inference) was fantastically insane. Each time a voter casts a vote multiply it by a factor of three so that the candidate's popularity is exaggerated by 300%.  This was a fantastic ploy to hoodwink the average man in the street who has not got an average understanding in arithmetic except for counting fingers and figures.

For example a man who gets about 2250 votes which in actual fact is only 750 voters who would have exercised the franchise at their will (barring rigging which can be substantial in a country where a dead man can vote- my father in law voted from heaven in one of the presidential elections).

The irony is that these peoples representatives get their images bloated out of proportion (none of them had any images before becoming representatives and our media bloat them further by reporting their act of omissions) to the needs of the poor masses (physical bloating an independent issue- none of them look healthy specimen to emulate the feat of our Commonwealth Games Gold Medalist from Polonnaruwa).

The third observation was that when the Kings were ruling this country the people were better off and replacing the Kings / or Queens with a Presidential candidate with only 50% of the vote is the miracle cure for our failures in the past in governance.

Little he realized that only essential road to success is broken promises and damn lies-pathological in dimension.

An aberration par excellence is that when 50% is not cast to engineer a second count.

Unfortunately 49% of the voters want have a King / or Queen of their choice. 


Mere 2% of the total vote is enough to crown a prince or princess.

I think it is far better and easy for the lottery administrators to design an elaborate lottery draw where each voter comes and push a button of luck and goes home happily without the party politics. By shear luck even the maddest person in this country with a stroke of luck could become the president and it is much more fairer than the democracy (DEMO=CRAZY).

Then we do not need fortune tellers to tell who will become the next president.

However my vision is to abolish the Presidency as soon as it is feasible and introduce one man one vote system and first past the post poll with some scientifically (not mathematically) designed proportionate representation of minority groups like the Earth People and abolish forthright the multiplication of voter rights by an absurd mathematical (jargon) exercise of JRJ.
I begin to think not only this country lacks philosophers but mathematicians of quality too. 

A fertile ground for terrorists is made out of this bizarre system of ours.

Why the election monitors fail to observe this anomaly is probably due to their congenitally skewed eyes?

Palm Tree

Palm TreeTorrential rains and inclement weather spared me some plant watching activity. 
This time of course palm variety. 
Looking outside from an advantage, a bird's eye view, I could see only one coconut tree about ten feet tall and probably of the same age with no signs of flowering. 
Looking down the precipice a few out of the twenty odd palm trees that survived the dry spell has sprung into activity. 
After a year long vigil and watering (when I had time) their survival was a bit of a miracle. 
The soil not conducive and the water logging not possible (due to the incline) their survival may have been contributed by my vigil, perhaps. 
Palms unlike the coconut (which loves the salty soil) are plants that love hot humid and muddy conditions, which support their roots with fungal symbiosis. 
The torrential rain was the most conducive and for nearly a decade we did not have similar weather conditions. 

I have tried all varieties including arecanut with no success over ten year period so my mind wondered the last time there was a spill over at Victoria Dam. 
Incidentally this was after the elections and the change over from the previous regime to the present. 
The saying prevalent at that time was “to wash the sins of the previous regime”. 
This time whose sins I would not wonder or ponder!

Coming back to palm trees there are over 1000 ornamental varieties and they are very expensive and home delivered for the wealthy in United States. 


In Sri-Lanka context, the “Cap Rukha”, the gifted plant is vandalized by the rich developers. Very soon they will be exported to US polythene wrapped. This is quite an irony. 
I am not sure where the coconut, the arecanut and the Kithul tree's position in the merit order on the1000 palm trees of the gardener's guide to tropical trees.
 

I guess the Americans who are likely to be categorized very tall in the merit list of democracy do not like tall trees in their neighborhood. 

Also their democratic nuts are not as hard as a coconut and they do not like the impact of coconut falling on their heads. 
This is why the oil industry in America had a vicious campaign against coconut oil for nearly fifty years.  
The real reason though is that they have lost their evolutionary talent like that of the monkeys in climbing trees and swinging from one tree to another. 
Going from country to country and looking for ecological trouble spots is only a pastime.

This is where our politicians who have a coconut size head and arecanut (some of them peanut sized- the American variety) sized brains should explore the possibility of exporting the coconut trees to America. 


The justification is that when the next tsunami hits our shores they can re-export them back as aid for the Sri-Lankans (tourists included) to climb and save their lives. 
The coconut trunks well preserved would be a new form of life support system developed in America. 
Few of the tourists of course saved their life hanging on to them a year ago. They could share the experience with the few tree climbers left in this country. We can promote this as a new millennium sport. 
Since most of the tree climbers (party climbers) have joined the parliament over the past half a century they can act as trainers and referees in this sport of tree climbing.

One a lighter note and in a scientific sense the real reason for declining interest in coconut, arecanut and Kithul tree is that all three of them are labour intensive like the tea industry. 

Only way to revive these flagging industries is to promote selective breeding of high yielding variety with short trunks so that harvesting is not labour intensive. 
For some unknown genetic reasons the short plants and animals have the ability to withstand adverse environmental conditions and it is not a challenge to go for such a variety. One of the reasons that the tall trees and dinosaurs disappeared from this planet is their enormous size.  They could not withstand the adversity. 

One area we are far behind is the palm oil industry and our Asian giant in hibernation, Malaysia, pioneered the research in this. 
They have gone for palm oils even destroying their rain forest. We have to learn a lot from them. Biodiesel is going to be an area we should explore instead of drilling for gas /oil in limited resources offshore. 
For me looking down the plane and seeing the coconut trees spanning the landing site is a fascinating scene. 
Sadly this scenery is not going to be there in another ten years. 
The developers are eying every peace of land to plunder. 

In the process they are developing social and economic disasters in the so-called palaces they are building. The coconut triangle is going to be zigzag in no time. 
We have so many ministers and ministries in this country a Palm Ministry would not be a burden to the country. In any case some of the parliamentarians are coming from that back ground both in oiling the palms (heads included) and climbing the trees and this is a one sure way to climb the political hierarchy.
 

For the super market chains and range for this Christmas should include the imported artificial palm trees from India, which do not need any watering, plant care or plant watching. 
For a change we could have Santa on a palm tree. 
How about that?


21st December 2005

Lady's Only

 Lady's Only

This happened in
A royal suite
Of an elite hotel in Colombo
A partially sighted
Gentleman of ill repute
Having poor sight
Due to bilateral upper quadrant hemianopia
Ventured into
A ladies toilet
Quite fortuitously


He was almost finishing
His nature's call
When a lady of a high society
Dock in to drop anchor
 

Seeing the man's posterior
Aghast,
 

Exclaimed
" This is ladies only facility"
The man in turn
 

Turned round zipped up
"This was a ladies specialty"
 

And zipped away
The lady did not know
Whether to agree or disagree


In hindsight the
Man knowing that
He had tertiary
Or the neurosyphilis
To be precise
And his prompt exit
From the facility
Did secure
No further embarrassment
To his integrity


5th October 2006